| 감천항의 장래 교통량 추정 및 교차상태위험 분석 |
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김정훈, 국승기, 김민철 |
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| Estimation on the Future Traffic Volumes and Analysis on Crossing Situation Risk for Gamcheon Harbor |
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Jung-Hoon Kim, Seung-Gi Gug, Min-Cheol Kim |
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| Abstract |
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Gamcheon Harbor was developed to cope with increased freight demand of Busan. port and supplement function of the north port. Because container wharf is opened to 1997 as well as general wharf, present maximum 50,000 DWT class containerships have been incoming and outgoing. However, In Gamcheon port, small size ships such as fishing boats, miscellaneous boats account for 50 percent of the traffic and a public marine products wholesale market that is building on the north wharf will open in 2008. Therefore, it needs to grasp future year traffic volume before establishing operation plan for port management. Also, analysis on crossing situation risk is
required because the breakwater entrance in Gamcheon Harbor is narrow and the crossed passing of ship is ever-present at breakwater front. Thus the traffic volume in the future was presumed and quantitative analysis was achieved on crossing situation though simulations with the traffic volume. |
| Key Words:
Gamcheon harbor;Year traffic volumes;Crossing situation risk;Regression analysis;
Weighted average;Simulation |
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