Development of Marine Casualty Forecasting System (Ⅱ): Implementation of Marine Casualty Prediction Model

Yim, Jeong-Bin

Journal of Navigation and Port Research 2003;27(5):487-492.
Published online December 31, 2003.

해양사고 예보 시스템 개발 (Ⅱ): 해양사고 예측 모델 구현

임정빈

Development of Marine Casualty Forecasting System (Ⅱ): Implementation of Marine Casualty Prediction Model

Jeong-Bin Yim

Abstract

The paper describes on the implementation of marine casualty prediction model that is one of the main part of Korean MArine Casualty FOrecasting System (K-MACFOS). In this work, Cell Distributed Linear-In-the-Parameter(CD-LIP) model is proposed and discussed its usability with comparing Baltic model and revised LIP model. As evaluation results by regression analysis of variance, it is known that the CD-LIP model gives best performance to the marine casualty numerical D/B of the target sea area.

Key Words: K-MACFOS;prediction model;CD-LIP model;Baltic model;residual analysis

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