Journal of Navigation and Port Research 2003;27(5):493-498.
Published online December 31, 2003.
시스템 다이내믹스에 의한 선박충돌사고의 인적요인 분석에 관한 연구
금종수, 양원재, 장운재
A Study on the System Dynamics Analysis for Human Factors in Ship’s Collision Accidents
Jong-Soo Keum, Weon-Jae Yang, Woon-Jae Jang
Abstract
Ship is being operated under a highly dynamic environments and many factors are related with ship’s collision and those factors are interacting. So, An analysis on the ship’s collision causes is very important to prepare countermeasures which will ensure the safe navigation. And the analysis confirmed that ship’s collision is occurred most frequently and the cause is closely related with humαn factor. The main purpose of this study is to build a model of human factors in ship’s collision cause using SD(System Dynamics) approach and to measure a effect which is risk control countermeasures of ship’s collision. To achieve this aim, the structure analysis on the causes of ship’s collision using FSM are performed, and the structure was changed by quantitative, qualitative factors and their feedback loops in casual map. This model was performed over 20 years(1993-2012) in a standard simulation model and 8 policy simulation models.
Key Words: marine casualty;casual map;SD(system dynamics);FSM(Fuzzy Structural Modeling);simulation model


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