J Navig Port Res > Volume 44(6); 2020 > Article
Journal of Navigation and Port Research 2020;44(6):564-570.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2020.44.6.564    Published online December 31, 2020.
우리나라 항만경쟁력 확보를 위한 적정 도선사 수요산정에 관한 연구
김태균, 전영우
한국해양대학교 해사수송과학부 교수
A Study on Proper Harbor Pilot Demand Estimation for ensuring Port Competitiveness in Korea
Tae-Goun Kim, Yeong-Woo Jeon
Professor, Division of Maritime Transportation Science, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan 49112, Korea
Correspondence:  Yeong-Woo Jeon, Tel: 051)410-410-4235, 
Email: jyw76@kmou.ac.kr
Received: 16 December 2020   • Revised: 28 December 2020   • Accepted: 28 December 2020
Abstract
In order to propose a realistic demand forecast for harbor pilots, define a direction for securing a supply of pilots for the betterment of national logistic services, and ensure the competitiveness of Korean ports, this study intended first to propose a new forecasting process for harbor pilot requirements through conducting analysis of determining factors affecting harbor pilot demand. Additionally, analyzing relevant previous studies allowed us to estimate the number of pilots required in the past and asses the studies limitations. Our second purpose was to propose a more stable allocation method among different pilot areas after forecasting the demand of harbor pilots until 2027 through application of the new forecasting process. From this application, the total number of pilots required was forecasted at 270, suggesting the total demand for harbor pilots will be increased by 7.57% compared with 251 pilots in 2018.
Key Words: port competitiveness, supply and demand of harbor pilots, demand estimation, maximum appropriate pilotage hours, safety of harbor pilotage


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